Offshore wind: the flywheel of Poland’s economic transformation

Poland’s offshore wind investment programme has officially entered the construction phase, marking one of the most significant industrial undertakings in the country’s modern history. With a full potential of 33 GW and a total investment value estimated at PLN 869 billion, the Polish offshore sector is emerging as a powerful driver of national economic growth, industrial innovation and energy security.

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19 november 2025   |   21:47   |   Source: Gazeta Morska   |   Prepared by: Kamil Kusier   |   Print

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A strategic cornerstone of Poland’s energy future

By 2040, the Polish exclusive economic zone in the Baltic Sea is expected to host 18 GW of installed offshore capacity. The long-term potential reaches as high as 33 GW — positioning offshore wind as a structural pillar of Poland’s energy transition.

During the opening of the Offshore Wind Poland conference, Minister of Climate and Environment Paulina Hennig-Kloska emphasised the strategic importance of the sector:

- We are now counting the foundations and turbine towers already standing in the Polish Baltic. Offshore wind is essential to replace increasingly expensive and ageing coal units. This energy transformation must continue beyond political divides — it’s a matter of national security.

Janusz Gajowiecki, President of the Polish Wind Energy Association, added:

- No other development initiative in modern Poland compares to this campaign. Offshore wind is not just an energy project — it is a catalyst that will modernise the economy, strengthen competitiveness, lower electricity costs and create thousands of jobs.

PLN 869 billion in investments – a massive industrial impulse

According to an analysis by Baker Tilly TPA, presented at Offshore Wind Poland 2025, fully unlocking Poland’s offshore potential will require:

• PLN 488 billion in CAPEX,
• PLN 12.7 billion in annual OPEX,
• PLN 869 billion in total investment throughout the lifecycle.

This scale exceeds the combined GDP of Lithuania, Latvia and Estonia, underlining the strategic and economic weight of the sector.

PLN 284 billion in added value for the Polish economy

Offshore wind can generate up to PLN 284 billion in gross value added (GVA) — combining direct, indirect and induced effects across the supply chain. This places offshore wind among the most impactful investment programmes in Poland’s economic landscape.

Over PLN 55 billion in government revenues

Throughout their operational lifespan, offshore wind farms are expected to provide:

• PLN 17.6 billion in CIT,
• PLN 18 billion in PIT and social contributions,
• Nearly PLN 20 billion in location and concession fees.

This creates a stable, long-term fiscal stream supporting the national budget.

A rapidly expanding domestic supply chain

Poland’s offshore wind supply chain continues to mature. The current local content level of roughly 20% is set to increase to at least 40% as:

• shipyards scale up offshore manufacturing,
• ports develop installation and service infrastructure,
• domestic companies invest in new competencies and technologies.

A strong industrial base – 500 Polish companies ready

Approximately 500 Polish companies already have the production capabilities, engineering know-how or service potential necessary to enter the offshore wind value chain. This broad industrial base positions Poland as an emerging offshore hub in the Baltic region, while supporting its ambitions in global markets.

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