Strait of Hormuz on the Edge. Is the World Facing a Maritime Energy Crisis?

The Strait of Hormuz is one of the most strategically significant maritime chokepoints on the global energy map. Nearly 20% of the world’s crude oil and LNG flows through this narrow stretch between the Persian Gulf and the Gulf of Oman. Following recent strikes on Iranian nuclear facilities, tensions in the region have escalated sharply. In response, the Iranian parliament has called for the closure of the Strait as a retaliatory measure — a move that could shake the foundations of global energy supply.

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Today | 12:42 | Source: Gazeta Morska | Prepared by: Kamil Kusier | Print

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When Geopolitics Meets Maritime Economics

Although the Iranian parliament’s decision awaits approval by the Supreme National Security Council, the threat of a de facto blockade of the Strait of Hormuz is gaining traction. Over 18 million barrels of oil pass through the strait daily, making it a critical node for Asia-bound imports — especially to China, Japan, and South Korea.

This geopolitical strain is already stirring volatility across commodity markets. Oil prices have surged past $80 per barrel, and rising transportation and insurance costs for maritime vessels could translate into higher fuel and energy prices worldwide.

Global Responses: Tension, Diplomacy, and Realpolitik

Leaders from global powers and international organizations have voiced their concerns, urging restraint while signaling readiness for decisive action.

U.S. President Donald Trump: "Closing the Strait of Hormuz would be economic suicide for Iran."
U.S. Secretary of State Marco Rubio: "Such a move would primarily hurt China and India, but would also ripple across European markets."
U.N. Secretary-General António Guterres: "We urgently call for de-escalation and a return to diplomacy."
Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu: "Peace through strength is now essential for regional stability."

Meanwhile, Russia and China have condemned the American strike, labeling it "irresponsible" and calling for a return to negotiations. In light of Iran’s threat to block the strait, the U.S. has turned to China as a potential mediator to preserve the status quo in this vital maritime corridor.

Poland and the Global Energy Crosscurrents

Although Poland does not import crude oil through the Strait of Hormuz, the ripple effects of a crisis in the region will certainly be felt along the Baltic Sea. Rising fuel and energy costs could impact industries, shipping, and logistics across Europe — including in Poland.

However, the country stands in a relatively strong position thanks to recent infrastructure investments:

The Świnoujście LNG terminal ensures diversification of gas imports.
The Baltic Pipe project enhances energy security by supplying Norwegian gas.
Strategic fuel reserves can sustain domestic energy needs for about 90 days during supply disruptions.
Long-term contracts with Norwegian and Western suppliers reduce vulnerability to political volatility in the Gulf.

Still, this doesn’t mean complacency is an option. Prime Minister Donald Tusk and his administration must remain proactive in policy and international dialogue.

The Baltic Voice in a Global Maritime Debate

As uncertainty looms in the Arabian Sea, Poland and the Baltic states have a role to play in the global conversation on maritime security and energy resilience.

Safeguarding sea lanes is not just a regional interest — it is a pillar of global economic stability. The countries along the Baltic should advocate for:

Strengthening NATO and EU maritime cooperation
Continued investment in ports and energy infrastructure
Active foreign policy engagement on global maritime issues
Participation in international initiatives to secure sea lines of communication (SLOCs)

Strait of Hormuz: Key Facts

Length: approx. 167 km
Narrowest point: approx. 39 km
Daily oil flow: 18–20 million barrels
LNG exports: ~25% of global shipments
Key importers: China, Japan, South Korea, India
Strategic significance: Connects Persian Gulf producers with global markets

The events unfolding around the Strait of Hormuz are a stark reminder of how fragile the architecture of global energy and trade truly is. As a maritime nation with growing influence, Poland must not remain a spectator. The voice from the Baltic — informed, strategic, and firm — must now echo across oceans.

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